Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1516 · JFK → SYR
departs 9:41 PM ET · arrives 10:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 50%
Sat 10/31 46%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SYR?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
SYR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SYR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.