Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1593
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 1593 · FLL → NAS
departs 12:17 PM ET · arrives 1:25 PM EDT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 23%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at NAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to NAS?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
NAS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.