Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1719
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1719 · RIC → SJU
departs 1:39 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sat 10/31 37%
Tue 11/3 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
RIC is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at RIC that day
↓
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at SJU that day
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.