Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1814
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1814 · ORF → BOS
departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 7:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 41%
Sun 11/1 49%
Mon 11/2 38%
Tue 11/3 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
ORF (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.