Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1903
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1903 · RDU → SJU
departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 9:02 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 27%
Sun 11/1 32%
Mon 11/2 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
↓
RDU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.