Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1950
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1950 · RSW → BUF
departs 3:00 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Sun 11/1 32%
Tue 11/3 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.