Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1971
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 1971 · FLL → AUS
departs 4:23 PM ET · arrives 6:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Wed 10/28 31%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.