Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1990
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 1990 · SJU → EWR
departs 4:47 PM AT · arrives 8:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 44%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 42%
Tue 11/3 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
SJU is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 2,900 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.