Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 201 · BUF → JFK
departs 7:21 PM ET · arrives 8:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 47%
Sun 11/1 49%
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at BUF that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.