Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 2128 · MCO → EWR
departs 9:19 PM ET · arrives 12:03 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 40%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 41%
Tue 11/3 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 46% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.