Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 251
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 251 · BOS → MCO
departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 48%
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 43%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.