Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2626
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 2626 · FLL → RDU
departs 7:15 PM ET · arrives 9:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Wed 10/28 26%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 47%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 43%
Mon 11/2 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Visibility down to 0.9 mi forecast at RDU that day
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.