Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2637
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 2637 · JFK → STI
departs 4:38 PM ET · arrives 8:33 PM AST
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 25%
Sat 10/31 34%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at STI more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at STI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STI?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STI
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.