Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 283
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 283 · JFK → MCO
departs 8:58 PM ET · arrives 11:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 46%
Sat 10/31 39%
Sun 11/1 57%
Mon 11/2 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±8 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
8pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.