Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2948
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 2948 · FLL → MCO
departs 6:40 PM ET · arrives 7:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±9 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.