Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2984 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

B6 2984 · MCO → JFK

departs 4:52 PM ET · arrives 7:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.16 in

JFK (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2984 · MCO → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?