Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 391 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

B6 391 · BOS → TPA

departs 3:26 PM ET · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 391 · BOS → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?