Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 405
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 405 · JFK → ORD
departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 48%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.