Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 435 · STT → SJU
departs 4:49 PM AST · arrives 5:41 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 39%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave STT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
STT usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
STT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.