Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 451
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 451 · BOS → MCO
departs 7:45 PM ET · arrives 10:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 43%
Sat 10/31 48%
Sun 11/1 53%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 45% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.