Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 460 · FLL → BDL
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Wed 10/28 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 56%
Sat 10/31 42%
Sun 11/1 48%
Mon 11/2 50%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.