Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 516
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 516 · BUF → BOS
departs 8:43 PM ET · arrives 10:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 32%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BUF (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.