Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 548
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 548 · TPA → HPN
departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 24%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 25%
Mon 11/2 21%
Tue 11/3 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from TPA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
↓
HPN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HPN (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.