Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 551
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 551 · BOS → MCO
departs 5:41 PM ET · arrives 8:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 39%
Sat 10/31 47%
Sun 11/1 50%
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.