Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 590 · SDQ → FLL
departs 3:45 PM AST · arrives 6:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Wed 10/28 39%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 38%
Sat 10/31 36%
Sun 11/1 36%
Mon 11/2 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SDQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at FLL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FLL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SDQ that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SDQ (origin)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
FLL (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.