Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 615
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 615 · JFK → SFO
departs 7:19 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 46%
Sun 11/1 57%
Mon 11/2 43%
Tue 11/3 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±12 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.