Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 624 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

B6 624 · LAX → JFK

departs 1:52 PM PT · arrives 10:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 624 · LAX → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?