Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 715 · BOS → BUF
departs 6:33 PM ET · arrives 8:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 41%
Sat 10/31 33%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BUF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BUF?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
BUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BUF (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.