Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 769
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
B6 769 · RIC → MCO
departs 2:37 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Wed 10/28 37%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 31%
Sat 10/31 29%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 29 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RIC (origin)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.