Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 803
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 803 · JFK → SJU
departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 8:01 PM AT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 47%
Sat 10/31 45%
Sun 11/1 52%
Mon 11/2 44%
Tue 11/3 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from JFK are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 1,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.