Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 811 · BOS → ORD
departs 5:10 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 46%
Sat 10/31 60%
Sun 11/1 51%
Mon 11/2 42%
Tue 11/3 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.