Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 8585
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
B6 8585 · MCO → SAL
departs 3:55 PM ET · arrives 4:57 PM CST
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SAL?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
SAL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
SAL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.