tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

BRITISH AIRWAYS · FLIGHT BA 196 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

BA 196 · IAH → LHR

departs 9:20 PM CT · arrives 10:59 AM GMT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Arrive at LHR more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LHR?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.