Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
C5 4280 · IAH → LBB
departs 2:16 PM CT · arrives 4:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 29%
Sun 11/1 24%
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at LBB that day
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
IAH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.