Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4306
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
C5 4306 · IAH → LBB
departs 4:59 PM CT · arrives 6:56 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 26%
Mon 11/2 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at LBB that day
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
C5's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,167 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.