Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4832
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
C5 4832 · IAH → BRO
departs 4:59 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at BRO more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BRO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BRO?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
BRO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BRO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.