tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 404 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CM 404 · PTY → IAD

departs 10:29 PM EST · arrives 4:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 7.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    83%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.