tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

COPA · FLIGHT CM 451 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CM 451 · SJU → PTY

departs 5:33 AM AT · arrives 7:37 AM EST
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Arrive at PTY more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PTY?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.