Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1035 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

DL 1035 · JFK → LAX

departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 5:18 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from JFK are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1035 · JFK → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?