Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1084
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
DL 1084 · DTW → ORD
departs 5:58 PM ET · arrives 6:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 41%
Sun 11/1 47%
Mon 11/2 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.11 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.