Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1319
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
DL 1319 · RDU → MCO
departs 5:03 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 27%
Sun 11/1 31%
Mon 11/2 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from RDU are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at RDU that day
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.