Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2072 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

DL 2072 · ATL → MSY

departs 10:07 PM ET · arrives 10:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2072 · ATL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?