Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2201
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
DL 2201 · GPI → SLC
departs 6:29 AM -05 · arrives 7:15 AM MT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 7%
Sat 10/31 7%
Sun 11/1 7%
Mon 11/2 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave GPI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at GPI that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from GPI are usually not late
Weather at each end
GPI (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.