Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2292
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
DL 2292 · TVC → DTW
departs 6:03 AM ET · arrives 7:11 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Wed 10/28 6%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31 11%
Sun 11/1 14%
Mon 11/2 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
5%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at TVC that day
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
TVC is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TVC (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.