Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2515
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
DL 2515 · SLC → MEM
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 5:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↑
Arrivals into MEM at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.