Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 276 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 276 · BOS → NCE

departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 8:20 AM CET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at NCE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to NCE?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Arrivals into NCE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

NCE (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 276 · BOS → NCE

Odds over time

How late will it get to NCE?