tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 286 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

DL 286 · JFK → MXP

departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 5:04 AM CET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Arrive at MXP more than 15 minutes late?
16% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.7d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MXP?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.