Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 457 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Yesterday

DL 457 · ATL → BOS

departs 7:31 PM ET · arrives 10:06 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 457 · ATL → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?