DL 468 · ATL → LGA

departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 9:39 PM ET

Your aircraft is N106DN (A321), coming in as DL 1179 from SAN: landed 3:10 PM ET.

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ATL that day

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 468 · ATL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?