Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 482 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

DL 482 · LAX → MCO

departs 7:35 AM PT · arrives 3:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 58h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 482 · LAX → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?